Cornerstone Commentary
Where Financial Planning and Investment Research Merge

One of Cornerstone’s founding principles was that we had observed a dis-connect between Financial Planning and Investment Research. It seems to us that the two disciplines are each created in a vacuum, away from each other, without regard for each other. The Cornerstone Commentaries will try to bring the two together in a way that investors will be able to understand and see how various strategies, plans and news can impact their financial future.

Plans Fail in a Vacuum
Financial Planning has been presented to investors as a well-packaged document full of projections, charts and very authoritative text, with lots of small text to give it a more sober tone. If the investor just follows the plan, they will achieve their lifelong goals, because it says so right in the Financial Plan.

The charts, graphs and projections are based on what is usually purported to be actual investment results over a given time frame, be it the past 5 yrs, 10 yrs or 20 yrs. But what about the next 5, 10 or 20 years? No answers. A multitude of projections based on the past, but nothing new based on economic research is usually provided.

Risk is usually measured not as the potential loss of real dollars but in an abstract way through Standard Deviation. “Your portfolio has a Standard Deviation of 16 Mrs. Jones, which is obviously better than a Standard Deviation of 17.” Thank goodness it is 16 and not 17 - 17 could have been disastrous!

Investment Research – How Does It Apply to Me?
Investment Research on-the-other-hand is many times presented without giving any context. Are they writing to institutional investors, traders or you? Would that make a difference?

“We think XYZ is a perfect fit for a long term portfolio”. This sounds like a great recommendation. But is it? Are they really saying that they think the stock is going to stink for a long while before it finally turns up again, but they have no idea when that might happen? When they say “perfect fit”, what are the other investments in the portfolio to which they refer? Are there other invests the investor should have in their portfolio that make this one “fit”?

Many times someone from the financial media will press an analyst for his single favorite stock pick. Just because it is this analyst’s favorite does not mean it is a good investment for everyone, nor does it mean that an investor should go out and overweight their portfolio with that stock.

Acme Brokerage may have a “Recommended Asset Allocation” or “Model Portfolio” that is 60% stocks 30% bonds and 10% cash. They are obviously bullish with such a heavy weighting in stocks. Or are they? Many times the asset allocation model is meant for institutional investors not individuals. Many brokerages employ floors and ceilings on these allocations.

Knowing where these are would tell you more about how they really feel about the asset allocation and the markets. If you found out that they had a floor (minimum) allocation of 55% for stocks, then 60% isn’t really all that bullish. If they had a ceiling (maximum) allocation of 10% for cash and they were at 10%, what does that tell you about their view of the markets? They are at their highest cash allocation possible, sounds pretty bearish.

Many institutions have written policies that require certain minimum allocations in stocks and bonds and maximum allocations in cash. But do individuals? Are you required to be in stocks and bonds at all times, regardless of market conditions? Of course not.

Putting It All Together
The Cornerstone Commentary attempts to put the world of Financial Planning and Investment Research together and presented in a way that is relevant to the individual investor. The Commentaries will try to put into perspective how various economic and market related research and news impacts you. We will also integrate how the various shifts in the economic sands can impact financial planning. We will uncover many of Wall Street’s closely held secrets and we will also endeavor to poke holes in many of the investment myths that are hyped by Wall Street and fervently believed as dogma by investors.

It is our belief that after reading the Commentaries, you will be a much better educated investor. Some of what you will read will be new and much of it will be things that you thought you knew but turned on its head to give a different perspective.

If you have any questions, comments or observations, we would love to hear from you. And if you know of anyone you care about that could use this information, please feel free to forward the article(s) to them.


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She was selected as one of the Top 100 Finalists (Out of thousands of offices nationwide.) for the 2007 On Wall Street Magazine Branch Manager Awards

We are proud of her accomplishment and feel fortunate to have someone of her caliber running our Providence office.

 

 

 

 





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Cornerstone Commentaries

Latest Commentary
(Feb 15, 2008)

Welcome to the Briar Patch!
(Mar 10, 2008)
Skyrocketing oil prices, real estate collapse, stock market dropping like a stone, possible bank failures, billions in write-offs, recession, political turmoil, terrorism, and war. What a great investment environment!

Trillion Dollar Secret
(Jan 2008)
If you think the sub-prime problem is big, you ain’t seen nothing yet.

Risk Costs
(Jan 2007)

$145 Billion Cup of Irish Coffee
(Jan 2007)

Icebergs

(Dec, 2007)

Noise

(Dec 2007)

Age Based Asset Allocation
(Oct 2007)
Why cycles are important and why bonds are not always the best investment choice for retirees

Boo!
(Oct, 2007)

Moral Hazard
(Aug 2007)

The Fed Buys
a Round

(Aug, 2007)

Money Money Everywhere
(July, 2007)

Investing = Football

The Big Picture
(2005)

How To Lose Money

Backing Into Success

Bells and Whistles




 

 

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Required Disclaimers & Disclosures:

Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against a loss.  There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful.  Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or a loss.

Nothing on this website should be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell shares of any mutual fund in any jurisdiction where the offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The use of the Cornerstone Investment Services website (cornerstoneri.com) is at your own sole risk. Cornerstoneri.com is provided on an "as is" and "as available" basis. Cornerstone investment Services makes no warranty that cornerstoneri.com will be uninterrupted, timely, secure or error free.

This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the circumstances and objectives of those who receive it. Cornerstone Investment Services recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages them to seek a financial adviser's advice. The appropriateness of an investment or strategy will depend on an investor's circumstances and objectives. This report is not an offer to buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading strategy. The value of and income from your investments may vary because of changes in interest rates or foreign exchange rates, securities prices or market indexes, operational or financial conditions of companies or other factors. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Estimates of future performance are based on assumptions that may not be realized.

This website is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. References made to third parties are based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate. Visitors should not regard it as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Any opinions expressed in this site are subject to change without notice and Cornerstone Investment Services is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Cornerstone Investment Services accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Our comments are an expression of opinion. While we believe our statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of our own credible sources. We recommend that you consult with a licensed, qualified investment advisor before making any investment decisions.

Reports prepared by Cornerstone Investment Services research personnel are based on public information. Cornerstone Investment Services makes every effort to use reliable, comprehensive information, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. We have no obligation to tell you when opinions or information in this report change apart from when we intend to discontinue research coverage of a company. Facts and views in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect information known to, professionals in other Cornerstone Investment Services business areas.

Trademarks and service marks herein are their owners' property. Third-party data providers make no warranties or representations of the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of their data and shall not have liability for any damages relating to such data. This report or portions of it may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Cornerstone Investment Services. Cornerstone Investment Services research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form. Additional information on recommended securities is available on request.

The market commentaries and reports are by John J. Riley and express the opinions of John J. Riley and not those of Fidelity Investments, National Financial Services or Cantella & Co.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Copyright © 2007 Cornerstone Investment Services, LLC
Last updated on 02-Apr-2008

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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