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CIS
Model
Portfolio for
Income
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Investments to
Avoid:
We know certain asset classes do particularly poorly during rising
inflation and interest rates. So, when putting together our Model
Portfolio for Income, we eliminated certain asset classes due to their
poor performance during rising interest rate environments. All of
these investments may have attractive current yields, but the potential
losses of principal are too great. A 6% current yield doesn’t make
up for a 20% principal loss.
Excluded:
Preferred Stocks - No maturity, so they can decline
as long as rates are rising.
Long term bonds - Even thought hey have a maturity
value, the price on the secondary market can fluctuate widely and
why hold a long term low yielding investment while rates are rising?
Junk Bonds - Low rated bonds bring an additional
risk - default. As rates rise, the issuer can have trouble and actual
default on the bond. This means the bondholder may get nothing. Zero.
Intermediate term bonds - Like long term bonds, they
can fluctuate widely as rates rise. Again, why hold onto a ten year
bond as rates are rising on new bonds?
Financial Stocks - Possibly the riskiest investments
during a rising rate environment. They can be highly leveraged and
get squeezed as rates rise. This could force dividend cuts or elimination.
Mortgage debt - Long term by nature, mortgage debt
can also fluctuate widely as rates rise.
REITs - Many REITS are just mortgages on commercial
real estate. Our research indicates that the commercial real estate
area still has more trouble to go and defaults are likely.
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QUINT-ESSENTIAL
STRATEGY
PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION CHOICE'S
PORTFOLIO
CONSTRUCTION
MODEL
FOR INCOME
ECONOMIC
CYCLES
INVESTMENT
PRINCIPLES
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